The Singularity Is Near

The Singularity Is Near

Summary of “The Singularity Is Near” by Ray Kurzweil

Main Topic or Theme of the Book

“The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology” by Ray Kurzweil explores the concept of the technological singularity, which refers to a hypothetical future point where artificial intelligence (AI) and other technologies reach a level of advancement surpassing human intelligence, leading to profound societal changes and potentially even a transformation of what it means to be human.

Key Ideas or Arguments Presented

  • Exponential Technological Progress: Kurzweil argues that technological progress is not linear but exponential. He presents evidence for this by examining historical trends and demonstrates how various technologies, including AI, biotechnology, nanotechnology, and others, are advancing at an accelerating rate.
  • Convergence of Technologies: The book emphasizes the convergence of genetics, nanotechnology, and robotics (GNR), suggesting that their combined effect will drive transformative advancements, ultimately leading to the singularity.
  • Implications of the Singularity: Kurzweil discusses the potential consequences of the singularity, which include the merging of humans with technology, radical life extension, enhanced cognitive abilities, and the creation of superintelligent entities.
  • Ethical and Philosophical Considerations: Throughout the book, Kurzweil delves into the ethical and philosophical implications of the singularity. He raises questions about the nature of consciousness, identity, and the essence of humanity in a world where technology plays an increasingly significant role.

Chapter Titles or Main Sections of the Book

  1. The Six Epochs
  2. A Theory of Technology Evolution: The Law of Accelerating Returns
  3. The Law of Accelerating Returns Applied to the Evolution of Computation
  4. Achieving the Computational Capacity of the Human Brain
  5. Models of Human Brain Function
  6. The Distinction Between the Hardware and Software of Intelligence
  7. The Deeply Intertwined Promise and Peril of GNR
  8. A New Form of Organization
  9. The Impact
  10. Is the Universe Computable?
  11. The Singularity

Key Takeaways or Conclusions

  • Technological Singularity: Kurzweil predicts that the singularity will occur by 2045, a point at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, leading to unprecedented changes in human civilization.
  • Transhumanism and Post-Humanism: The book explores the idea that humans will transcend their biological limitations through technological enhancements, potentially leading to a new era of existence.
  • Ethical Challenges: Kurzweil emphasizes the importance of addressing ethical and existential risks associated with advanced technologies. He suggests that careful planning and regulation are necessary to navigate the potential pitfalls of the singularity.

Author’s Background and Qualifications

Ray Kurzweil is a highly respected inventor, futurist, and author with a background in computer science and artificial intelligence. He has made significant contributions to various fields, including optical character recognition, speech recognition, and electronic music. Kurzweil is known for his bold predictions about the future of technology and society, and his insights have influenced debates on subjects ranging from AI ethics to human enhancement.

Comparison to Other Books on the Same Subject

“The Singularity Is Near” stands out for its comprehensive analysis of the technological singularity, backed by Kurzweil’s expertise in AI and technology. While other books may explore similar themes, Kurzweil’s work provides a detailed examination of the exponential growth of technology and its implications for humanity, making it a seminal text in the field of futurism.

Target Audience or Intended Readership

This book is suitable for a wide range of readers interested in futurism, technology, and the potential impact of AI and other advanced technologies on society. It appeals to both general audiences seeking a thought-provoking exploration of the future and professionals in fields such as computer science, neuroscience, and ethics.

Explanation and Analysis of Each Part with Quotes

The Six Epochs

In the chapter titled “The Six Epochs,” Kurzweil outlines the evolutionary history of the universe in six distinct epochs, leading up to the present era of human civilization. He conceptualizes these epochs as stages characterized by increasing levels of complexity and information processing. Kurzweil’s aim in this chapter is to provide a framework for understanding the broader context of technological evolution and the emergence of human intelligence.

Kurzweil begins by tracing the origins of the universe from the Big Bang, marking the beginning of the first epoch. He describes how the universe evolved from simple physical particles to more complex structures, eventually giving rise to stars, galaxies, and planets.

Moving forward, Kurzweil discusses the emergence of life on Earth, which marks the transition to the second epoch. He explores the development of biological organisms and the evolution of multicellular life forms, highlighting the role of DNA as a repository of genetic information.

The third epoch is characterized by the evolution of brains and nervous systems, leading to the emergence of intelligent life forms. Kurzweil examines the cognitive abilities of various species and the evolutionary pressures that drove the development of intelligence.

The fourth epoch represents the rise of human civilization and the development of language, culture, and technology. Kurzweil discusses the transition from hunter-gatherer societies to agricultural civilizations, which laid the groundwork for the rapid advancement of human civilization.

The fifth epoch marks the era of exponential technological progress, fueled by the invention of writing, the printing press, and, more recently, computers and the internet. Kurzweil highlights how each new technology has enabled the creation and dissemination of knowledge at an accelerating rate.

Finally, Kurzweil discusses the present epoch, characterized by the rapid convergence of genetics, nanotechnology, and robotics (GNR). He argues that this convergence is driving unprecedented advancements in AI, biotechnology, and other fields, ultimately leading to the singularity.

Throughout the chapter, Kurzweil emphasizes the role of information processing in driving evolutionary change and highlights the interconnectedness of the various epochs. By contextualizing technological evolution within the broader narrative of cosmic and biological history, Kurzweil provides readers with a framework for understanding the significance of the technological singularity and its potential impact on humanity.

A Theory of Technology Evolution: The Law of Accelerating Returns

In this chapter, Kurzweil introduces the concept of the Law of Accelerating Returns as a fundamental principle driving the evolution of technology. He argues that technological progress is not linear but rather follows an exponential curve, meaning that the rate of advancement accelerates over time rather than remaining constant.

Kurzweil provides evidence for this theory by examining historical trends in technological innovation, citing examples such as Moore’s Law, which observes that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles approximately every two years. He also points to other fields, such as biotechnology and nanotechnology, where similar exponential growth patterns can be observed.

The implications of the Law of Accelerating Returns are profound. Kurzweil suggests that as technology continues to advance at an exponential rate, the pace of change will become increasingly rapid, leading to exponential increases in the capabilities of future technologies. This, in turn, will result in transformative changes across various aspects of human society.

Furthermore, Kurzweil argues that the Law of Accelerating Returns applies not only to the development of individual technologies but also to the rate of technological innovation as a whole. He suggests that as technologies become more advanced, they enable the creation of even more powerful tools and techniques, leading to a feedback loop of accelerating progress.

By understanding and harnessing the power of the Law of Accelerating Returns, Kurzweil contends that humanity can better prepare for and adapt to the rapid pace of technological change. However, he also acknowledges the challenges and risks associated with exponential growth, including ethical considerations and the potential for unforeseen consequences.

Overall, this chapter lays the foundation for Kurzweil’s broader thesis about the inevitability of the technological singularity, arguing that exponential technological progress is not only possible but also an inherent feature of the evolution of technology.

The Law of Accelerating Returns Applied to the Evolution of Computation

In this chapter, Kurzweil extends his theory of the Law of Accelerating Returns specifically to the field of computation. He argues that the exponential growth in computing power has been a key driver of technological progress and will continue to play a central role in shaping the future of civilization.

Kurzweil begins by examining the historical trajectory of computing power, citing examples such as Moore’s Law to illustrate how the capabilities of computers have consistently doubled over relatively short periods. He explains how this exponential growth has enabled the development of increasingly powerful technologies, from simple calculators to complex artificial intelligence systems.

Furthermore, Kurzweil discusses the implications of exponential growth in computation for various fields, including artificial intelligence, genetics, and nanotechnology. He suggests that as computational power continues to increase, it will enable researchers to tackle increasingly complex problems and make rapid advancements in these areas.

Kurzweil also explores the concept of “computational capacity,” referring to the ability of computers to process information and perform calculations. He argues that as computational capacity continues to grow exponentially, it will eventually reach a point where computers are capable of simulating the complexity of the human brain and beyond.

Additionally, Kurzweil addresses potential limitations to the exponential growth of computation, such as physical constraints and the eventual breakdown of Moore’s Law. However, he remains optimistic about the possibility of overcoming these challenges through technological innovation and the development of new computing paradigms.

Overall, this chapter underscores the central role of computation in driving technological progress and highlights the potential for exponential growth in this field to revolutionize various aspects of human civilization. By understanding and harnessing the power of exponential computation, Kurzweil suggests that we can unlock new possibilities for the future of humanity.

Achieving the Computational Capacity of the Human Brain

In this chapter, Kurzweil delves into the concept of achieving computational capacity equivalent to that of the human brain. He explores the intricacies of the brain’s information processing capabilities and discusses the feasibility of replicating or surpassing them using computational technologies.

Kurzweil begins by examining the remarkable complexity of the human brain, which consists of billions of neurons interconnected through trillions of synapses. He highlights the brain’s ability to process vast amounts of information in parallel and adaptively rewire its connections based on experience.

Next, Kurzweil discusses advancements in computational neuroscience and brain-inspired computing models that aim to emulate the functionality of the human brain. He explores various approaches, including neural networks, deep learning algorithms, and neuromorphic computing architectures, which seek to mimic the brain’s structure and functioning.

Kurzweil also addresses the challenges inherent in achieving the computational capacity of the human brain. He discusses the need for increased computational power, improved understanding of brain function, and the development of more sophisticated algorithms capable of emulating complex cognitive processes.

Furthermore, Kurzweil explores the potential implications of achieving computational parity with the human brain. He discusses how such advancements could revolutionize fields such as artificial intelligence, robotics, and cognitive enhancement, leading to unprecedented levels of technological innovation and societal transformation.

Throughout the chapter, Kurzweil emphasizes the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration between neuroscientists, computer scientists, and engineers in unlocking the secrets of the brain and realizing the full potential of brain-inspired computing technologies.

Overall, this chapter provides a comprehensive overview of the challenges and opportunities associated with achieving the computational capacity of the human brain. Kurzweil’s insights shed light on the cutting-edge research and developments driving progress in this exciting and rapidly evolving field.

Models of Human Brain Function

In this chapter, Kurzweil explores various models of human brain function, aiming to elucidate the intricacies of how the brain processes information and generates behavior. He delves into the complexity of neural networks and discusses how they can inform the development of artificial intelligence and computational neuroscience.

Kurzweil begins by introducing the concept of neural networks, which are computational models inspired by the structure and functioning of the human brain. He explains how neural networks consist of interconnected nodes, or neurons, which communicate with each other through weighted connections, simulating the synaptic connections found in biological brains.

Next, Kurzweil discusses different types of neural network architectures, including feedforward networks, recurrent networks, and convolutional networks. He explores how these architectures are used to model various aspects of human cognition, such as perception, learning, memory, and decision-making.

Furthermore, Kurzweil examines the role of learning algorithms in training neural networks to perform specific tasks. He discusses supervised learning, unsupervised learning, and reinforcement learning, highlighting their applications in pattern recognition, data analysis, and robotic control.

Kurzweil also addresses the limitations of current neural network models and explores avenues for future research. He discusses challenges such as scalability, interpretability, and the need for more biologically realistic models capable of capturing the full complexity of human brain function.

Throughout the chapter, Kurzweil emphasizes the interdisciplinary nature of computational neuroscience and the importance of integrating insights from neuroscience, psychology, computer science, and engineering. He suggests that by combining knowledge from diverse fields, researchers can develop more sophisticated models of human brain function and accelerate progress towards the development of intelligent machines.

Overall, this chapter provides a comprehensive overview of models of human brain function, shedding light on the cutting-edge research and developments driving progress in computational neuroscience and artificial intelligence. Kurzweil’s insights offer valuable insights into the workings of the brain and the potential for creating intelligent systems that mimic its capabilities.

The Distinction Between the Hardware and Software of Intelligence

In this chapter, Kurzweil examines the distinction between the hardware and software of intelligence, aiming to elucidate how the physical substrate of computation influences the development and functioning of intelligent systems. He delves into the relationship between hardware architecture and software algorithms, highlighting their complementary roles in shaping the capabilities of intelligent machines.

Kurzweil begins by discussing the concept of hardware, referring to the physical components of a computing system, such as processors, memory modules, and input/output devices. He emphasizes how advances in hardware technology, such as the development of faster processors and larger memory capacities, have enabled the creation of increasingly powerful computing devices.

Next, Kurzweil explores the concept of software, which encompasses the programs, algorithms, and instructions that govern the operation of a computing system. He discusses how software algorithms can leverage hardware resources to perform complex tasks, such as image recognition, natural language processing, and decision-making.

Furthermore, Kurzweil examines the interplay between hardware and software in the development of intelligent systems. He discusses how hardware constraints, such as processing speed and memory limitations, can influence the design and optimization of software algorithms, leading to trade-offs between computational efficiency and algorithmic complexity.

Kurzweil also addresses the concept of embodied intelligence, which refers to the idea that intelligence emerges from the interaction between an agent and its environment. He discusses how physical embodiment can influence the development and behavior of intelligent systems, shaping their sensory capabilities, motor skills, and cognitive abilities.

Throughout the chapter, Kurzweil emphasizes the importance of considering both hardware and software factors in the design and implementation of intelligent systems. He suggests that by understanding the distinct roles played by hardware and software in shaping intelligence, researchers can develop more effective strategies for creating intelligent machines that exhibit human-like capabilities.

Overall, this chapter provides valuable insights into the distinction between the hardware and software of intelligence, shedding light on the complex interplay between physical substrate and computational algorithms in shaping the capabilities of intelligent systems. Kurzweil’s analysis offers valuable perspectives for researchers and practitioners in the fields of artificial intelligence, computer science, and robotics.

The Deeply Intertwined Promise and Peril of GNR

In this chapter, Kurzweil delves into the concept of GNR, which stands for genetics, nanotechnology, and robotics. He explores the profound implications of these converging technologies for humanity, highlighting both their promise and peril.

Kurzweil begins by discussing the promise of GNR technologies, emphasizing their potential to revolutionize fields such as medicine, manufacturing, and environmental sustainability. He explores how advancements in genetics can lead to personalized medicine and genetic engineering, nanotechnology can enable precise manipulation of matter at the atomic scale, and robotics can automate tasks and enhance human capabilities.

Next, Kurzweil examines the potential peril of GNR technologies, acknowledging the ethical, social, and existential risks associated with their development and deployment. He discusses concerns such as genetic manipulation, environmental impact, job displacement due to automation, and the potential for unintended consequences.

Furthermore, Kurzweil explores the interconnectedness of GNR technologies and their synergistic effects when combined. He discusses how advancements in one field can accelerate progress in others, leading to exponential growth in technological capabilities and societal impact.

Kurzweil also addresses the importance of responsible innovation and ethical considerations in the development of GNR technologies. He emphasizes the need for robust regulation, public dialogue, and ethical frameworks to guide the responsible use of these powerful technologies.

Throughout the chapter, Kurzweil encourages readers to consider the dual nature of GNR technologies, recognizing their immense potential for both beneficial and harmful outcomes. He suggests that by embracing the promise of GNR while mitigating its perils, humanity can harness the transformative power of these technologies for the greater good.

Overall, this chapter provides a thought-provoking exploration of the deeply intertwined promise and peril of GNR technologies. Kurzweil’s insights offer valuable perspectives on the ethical, social, and existential challenges posed by the convergence of genetics, nanotechnology, and robotics, prompting readers to critically engage with the implications of these technologies for the future of humanity.

A New Form of Organization

In this chapter, Kurzweil explores the emergence of new forms of organization enabled by advancements in technology, particularly in the context of the digital age. He examines how these new organizational structures are reshaping industries, economies, and social interactions, ushering in a transformative era of innovation and collaboration.

Kurzweil begins by discussing the rise of decentralized and distributed organizational models, which leverage digital technologies to enable peer-to-peer interactions and coordination without the need for centralized control. He explores examples such as blockchain technology, which facilitates trustless transactions and decentralized governance systems.

Next, Kurzweil examines the concept of virtual communities and networked organizations, which transcend traditional geographical boundaries and enable individuals to connect, collaborate, and exchange knowledge on a global scale. He discusses how digital platforms and social media have facilitated the formation of online communities and collaborative networks, empowering individuals to share ideas and work together towards common goals.

Furthermore, Kurzweil explores the implications of these new forms of organization for traditional institutions and industries. He discusses how established organizations are adapting to the digital age by embracing concepts such as open innovation, agile methodologies, and flexible work arrangements.

Kurzweil also addresses the potential challenges and risks associated with decentralized and virtual organizations, such as cybersecurity threats, privacy concerns, and the need for new governance structures to ensure accountability and transparency.

Throughout the chapter, Kurzweil emphasizes the transformative potential of these new organizational models in driving innovation, accelerating knowledge exchange, and fostering collaboration across diverse communities. He suggests that by embracing these new forms of organization, humanity can unlock new opportunities for creativity, entrepreneurship, and societal progress in the digital age.

Overall, this chapter provides a comprehensive exploration of the emergence of new forms of organization enabled by advancements in technology. Kurzweil’s insights offer valuable perspectives on the evolving nature of work, community, and governance in the digital era, prompting readers to consider the implications of these changes for the future of society.

The Impact

In this chapter, Kurzweil delves into the potential impact of accelerating technological progress on various aspects of human society and civilization. He explores how advancements in fields such as artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and nanotechnology are poised to bring about profound transformations in virtually every domain of human activity.

Kurzweil begins by discussing the implications of increasing automation and AI on the global economy and the nature of work. He examines how the rise of intelligent machines and robotics may lead to job displacement in certain sectors while creating new opportunities for innovation and entrepreneurship in others. He also explores the potential for AI to augment human capabilities and enhance productivity in diverse fields.

Next, Kurzweil examines the impact of biotechnology on healthcare, longevity, and human enhancement. He discusses how breakthroughs in genomics, personalized medicine, and regenerative medicine may lead to radical extensions of human lifespan, the eradication of disease, and the enhancement of physical and cognitive abilities.

Furthermore, Kurzweil explores the implications of nanotechnology for manufacturing, energy production, and environmental sustainability. He discusses how the ability to manipulate matter at the atomic and molecular scale may revolutionize materials science, energy storage, and environmental remediation, leading to more sustainable and efficient technologies.

Kurzweil also addresses the societal and ethical implications of these technological advancements, including concerns about inequality, privacy, and the misuse of powerful technologies. He emphasizes the importance of proactive governance, ethical frameworks, and public dialogue to ensure that emerging technologies are developed and deployed responsibly for the benefit of humanity.

Throughout the chapter, Kurzweil paints a comprehensive picture of the potential impact of accelerating technological progress on human civilization. He highlights both the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead as society navigates the transformative effects of emerging technologies.

Overall, this chapter serves as a thought-provoking exploration of the profound implications of accelerating technological progress on the future of humanity. Kurzweil’s insights prompt readers to critically engage with the potential impacts of emerging technologies and to consider how society can harness the power of innovation to address global challenges and build a more equitable and sustainable future.

Is the Universe Computable?

In this chapter, Kurzweil delves into the question of whether the universe is computable, exploring the implications of this question for our understanding of the nature of reality and the potential limits of human knowledge.

Kurzweil begins by examining the concept of computability and its relevance to the physical universe. He discusses the idea that the laws of physics may be ultimately reducible to computational processes, suggesting that the universe operates according to underlying algorithms that govern the behavior of particles and fields.

Next, Kurzweil explores the implications of a computable universe for our ability to simulate and understand complex phenomena. He discusses how computational models and simulations have been used to study everything from the behavior of galaxies to the structure of molecules, highlighting the power of computation as a tool for scientific inquiry.

Furthermore, Kurzweil considers the possibility of simulating entire universes within computer simulations, exploring the philosophical and ethical implications of such endeavors. He discusses the concept of “ancestor simulations” and the idea that we may be living in a simulated reality created by advanced civilizations, prompting questions about the nature of consciousness and free will.

Kurzweil also addresses the limitations of computational models and the challenges of reconciling quantum mechanics with the theory of relativity within a computational framework. He discusses ongoing debates in theoretical physics and cosmology about the fundamental nature of reality and the nature of time and space.

Throughout the chapter, Kurzweil encourages readers to grapple with the profound implications of the computability of the universe for our understanding of existence and the limits of human knowledge. He suggests that while computation may offer powerful insights into the workings of the cosmos, it also raises philosophical questions about the nature of reality and our place within it.

Overall, this chapter serves as a thought-provoking exploration of the concept of a computable universe and its implications for our understanding of the cosmos. Kurzweil’s insights prompt readers to contemplate the nature of reality and the role of computation in unlocking the mysteries of the universe.

The Singularity

In this culminating chapter, Kurzweil explores the concept of the singularity—the hypothetical point in the future when technological progress becomes so rapid and transformative that it fundamentally alters human civilization.

Kurzweil begins by revisiting the central thesis of his book: that technological progress follows an exponential curve rather than a linear one, leading to an accelerating rate of change. He argues that this exponential growth will eventually culminate in the singularity, a moment of unprecedented transformation driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, biotechnology, nanotechnology, and other fields.

Next, Kurzweil discusses the potential implications of the singularity for humanity. He explores scenarios such as the merging of humans with technology, the creation of superintelligent AI, and the possibility of radical life extension and enhancement. He suggests that the singularity represents a profound shift in the nature of human existence, leading to new forms of intelligence, consciousness, and creativity.

Furthermore, Kurzweil addresses the ethical, social, and existential challenges posed by the singularity. He discusses concerns such as the loss of privacy, the erosion of human autonomy, and the potential for unintended consequences as technology outpaces our ability to control it. He emphasizes the importance of proactive governance and ethical frameworks to ensure that the benefits of the singularity are maximized while minimizing its risks.

Throughout the chapter, Kurzweil paints a compelling vision of the singularity as a moment of both promise and peril for humanity. He suggests that while the singularity may hold the key to solving many of humanity’s greatest challenges, it also poses significant risks if not approached with caution and foresight.

Overall, this chapter serves as a thought-provoking exploration of the concept of the singularity and its potential implications for the future of humanity. Kurzweil’s insights prompt readers to contemplate the profound transformations that may lie ahead as we approach this momentous event in human history.

Main Quotes Highlights

  • “We won’t experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century—it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today’s rate).”
  • “The Singularity will represent the culmination of the merger of our biological thinking and existence with our technology, resulting in a world that is still human but transcends our biological roots.”
  • “We are entering a new era where we will increasingly be able to extend the human lifespan, augment our intelligence, and overcome age-old human limitations.”

Reception or Critical Response to the Book

“The Singularity Is Near” has generated significant discussion and debate since its publication. While some praise Kurzweil’s bold predictions and thought-provoking ideas, others criticize his technological optimism and the feasibility of his timelines. However, the book has undeniably had a major impact on discussions about the future of technology and humanity.

Recommendations for Other Similar Books

The Book from the Perspective of Mothers

Mothers may find “The Singularity Is Near” both fascinating and concerning, as it explores the potential for radical technological transformations that could impact future generations. It prompts reflection on the ethical implications of advancing technologies and their effects on society and human relationships.

Throughout “The Singularity Is Near,” Kurzweil primarily focuses on the technological and scientific aspects of his thesis. However, he also indirectly addresses the concerns and perspectives of mothers, albeit not as a central theme.

From the perspective of mothers, Kurzweil’s exploration of the singularity and accelerating technological progress may evoke a range of emotions and considerations. Mothers may feel both excitement and apprehension about the potential future described by Kurzweil. On one hand, they may be intrigued by the possibilities of advancements in healthcare, education, and quality of life for their children. The prospect of longer lifespans, enhanced cognitive abilities, and access to cutting-edge medical treatments may offer hope for a brighter future.

On the other hand, mothers may also feel a sense of protectiveness and concern for the well-being of their children in a rapidly changing world. They may worry about the ethical implications of technologies like AI and genetic engineering, particularly regarding issues of privacy, autonomy, and inequality. Mothers may also be concerned about the impact of automation on the job market and the need to ensure that their children are prepared for a rapidly evolving economy.

Furthermore, mothers may grapple with questions about the role of humanity and individual identity in a future where humans may merge with machines or exist in virtual environments. They may contemplate the implications of such profound changes for concepts of family, community, and human connection.

While Kurzweil does not explicitly address these maternal perspectives, they are nevertheless relevant to the broader discussion of the singularity and its implications for society. Mothers, like all individuals, are stakeholders in the future described by Kurzweil, and their perspectives and concerns are important considerations in discussions about the ethical and societal implications of accelerating technological progress.

To Sum Up

The Singularity Is Near” provides a compelling argument for the inevitability of the technological singularity, highlighting the exponential growth of technology and its profound implications for humanity’s future. Kurzweil’s insights provoke thought and discussion about the ethical, philosophical, and practical challenges that lie ahead as we approach this transformative event.

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